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September 16-18, 2024 | Rome, Italy
GPMB 2022

Pavlovskaya Ninel Efimovna

Pavlovskaya Ninel Efimovna, Speaker at Plant Science Conferences
Orlov State Agricultural University, Russian Federation
Title : Managing the conditions of the processes of vegetation of grain crops using NDVI


Yield forecasting is an important tool for managing the production process and one of the mandatory elements of the precision farming system. Modeling of the effect of the current conditions on the vegetation of plants is realized by factor analysis of temperature, soil, climatic and other influences. An evaluation indicator should be selected as an independent variable of the mathematical model that most fully reflects the impact of the current conditions on the growth and development of culture, including the possibility of determining it in a remote format. As a criterion for optimizing the predictive mathematical model, the article considers the possibility of using deviations of the current NDVI values from the average long-term indicators. On the example of winter wheat and spring barley, the procedure for the formation of NDVI time series based on archival data from 2016-2020 is given. The approximation of long-term average data by an asymmetric gaussian is performed and the adequacy of mathematical models is checked, allowing

1. The task of managing the vegetation process can be implemented on the basis of predictive models obtained by factor analysis of the initial data.

2. A comparative analysis of the average long-term and current (vegetative season of 2021) NDVI indices for the studied crops, a diagram of NDVI anomalies (ΔNDVI) of the current vegetative season was obtained. The diagram is recommended for assessing the influence of external factors on the vegetative process.

3. The characteristic of ΔNDVI can be used as an independent variable (optimization criterion) in factor models for predicting the dynamics of the vegetation process.


Pavlovskaya Ninel Efimovna began her scientific activity after graduating from Tashkent State University in 1961 after defending her doctoral thesis in 1987, she headed the photosynthesis laboratory of the Institute of Experimental Biology at the Institute of Experimental Biology of the An UzSSR. In 1994, Pavlovskaya N.E. moved to Russia in The Eagle, where she headed the biochemistry laboratory of the Institute of Legumes and Cereals. Since 1994 she has been working at the Orlov State Agricultural University. In 2001, for the first time in Orla, the Orlov Regional Biotechnology Center of Agricultural Plants was established in Orlov State Agricultural University, equipped with modern equipment.